Met4Cast Consultancy

Long-range forecasts, grounded in physics.

Probabilistic outlooks from two weeks to two months, built on the GSDM and the dynamics that drive the atmosphere. For energy companies that need to see what’s coming.

Illustrative probabilistic outlook: many possible futures, and the likelihood of each.

Long range

Where most forecasts stop,
I start.

Weather forecasts fade out after a week or two. Energy decisions don’t. I give you the likelihoods for the weeks and months beyond.

Standard forecastsUp to about two weeks
Long-range outlooksTwo weeks to two months
Today2 weeks1 month2 months

Track record

I called this summer
in May.

Months before the heat arrived, my long-range outlook said this would be a hot summer. It was.

MayThe call: a hot summer ahead.
SummerThe heat arrived.

Method

Physics first.
Likelihood, not guesses.

Every outlook starts from how the atmosphere actually works, and ends as probabilities you can act on.

Grounded in dynamics

Built on the GSDM and a working understanding of atmospheric dynamics, not pattern-matching alone.

Probabilistic by design

Every outlook comes as likelihoods, not a single guess, so you can weigh risk and price it in.

Made for energy

Framed around what moves your business: temperature-driven demand, wind and rainfall.

Work with me

Tell me what
you need to see.

Regular outlooks, a bespoke briefing, or one-off analysis for a particular season or decision. Every engagement is tailored to your questions.

Start the conversation

Get ahead of the season.

Long-range probabilistic forecasts, grounded in physics.

Get in touch